Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Chartier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Suter wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Chartier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 49.5% vs Chartier 51.5% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 85.3%
Defensive zone
Suter 66.2%
Neutral zone
Suter 67.4%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Suter
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Suter
Chartier
Last 5: Suter 0-5 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
1
Suter
Chartier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
4
Suter
Chartier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (299)
54.2% (225)
-7.0%
Power Play
58.9% (56)
75.0% (4)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (22)
43.3% (67)
+11.2%
On power play, Chartier has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Suter is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Suter shoots left. Chartier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Suter
Chartier
Home
51.7% (172)
49.5% (202)
Away
47.3% (205)
57.4% (94)
By Period
Suter
Chartier
P1
48.2%
51.6%
P2
49.3%
49.5%
P3
51.2%
54.6%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:52 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |