Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Suter wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 46.3% vs Lorentz 48.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 59.0%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 60.3%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 59.5%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Suter
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Suter
Lorentz
Last 9: Suter 6-3 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
2
0
Suter
Lorentz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
1
2
Suter
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
3
1
Suter
Lorentz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (3,208)
48.9% (1,118)
-2.7%
Power Play
52.9% (278)
50.0% (26)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (303)
41.9% (86)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Suter is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,386).
Suter shoots left. Lorentz is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Suter
Lorentz
Home
46.8% (1,804)
50.8% (606)
Away
45.7% (1,985)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Suter
Lorentz
P1
46.6%
53.0%
P2
46.0%
46.8%
P3
46.1%
46.1%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |