Scouting Report
Pius Suter holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Suter wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 49.5% vs Novak 43.5% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 70.7%
Defensive zone
Suter 59.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Suter
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Suter
Novak
Last 7: Suter 3-4 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Suter
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
0
Suter
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Suter
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (299)
40.7% (460)
+6.5%
Power Play
58.9% (56)
61.5% (39)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (22)
0.0% (1)
+54.5%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Suter is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Suter shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Suter
Novak
Home
51.7% (172)
47.0% (236)
Away
47.3% (205)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Suter
Novak
P1
48.2%
43.1%
P2
49.3%
43.1%
P3
51.2%
40.1%
Final 5 min
49.5%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 10:53 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | Pius Suter |