Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Suter wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 46.3% vs Johnson 49.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 54.2%
Defensive zone
Suter 53.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.1%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Suter
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Suter
Johnson
Last 10: Suter 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
3
1
Suter
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Suter
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Suter
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (3,208)
49.8% (5,396)
-3.6%
Power Play
52.9% (278)
54.6% (885)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (303)
42.3% (707)
-2.0%
On even strength, Johnson has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Suter is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,403).
Suter shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Suter
Johnson
Home
46.8% (1,804)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
45.7% (1,985)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Suter
Johnson
P1
46.6%
50.1%
P2
46.0%
50.6%
P3
46.1%
48.4%
OT
44.4%
42.5%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Pius Suter |