Scouting Report
Pontus Holmberg holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Holmberg wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holmberg 46.2% vs Strome 44.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 56.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 52.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 54.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Holmberg
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Holmberg
Strome
Last 8: Holmberg 0-8 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Holmberg
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
4
Holmberg
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
3
Holmberg
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holmberg
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (673)
44.1% (6,839)
+1.4%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
49.3% (854)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (61)
41.5% (410)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Holmberg is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Holmberg shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Holmberg
Strome
Home
46.7% (418)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
44.5% (337)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Holmberg
Strome
P1
53.5%
44.0%
P2
41.1%
45.3%
P3
42.5%
44.3%
OT
0.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
41.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |