Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Byfield 45.4% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 61.4%
Defensive zone
Byfield 67.3%
Neutral zone
Byfield 70.3%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Lowry
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Byfield
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Lowry
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
2
Lowry
Byfield
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Byfield
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
46.5% (759)
+8.9%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (58)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
35.1% (148)
+5.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Byfield is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Lowry
Byfield
Home
54.5% (402)
46.2% (442)
Away
53.3% (368)
44.0% (523)
By Period
Lowry
Byfield
P1
52.4%
44.1%
P2
56.0%
43.5%
P3
54.2%
47.7%
OT
40.0%
39.3%
Final 5 min
58.1%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |