Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.8% vs Byfield 45.1% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 68.0%
Defensive zone
Byfield 70.0%
Neutral zone
Byfield 74.5%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Lowry
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Byfield
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Lowry
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
2
Lowry
Byfield
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Byfield
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (660)
46.1% (738)
+9.7%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (58)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
35.1% (148)
+6.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Lowry is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Lowry shoots left. Byfield is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Lowry
Byfield
Home
54.5% (402)
46.2% (442)
Away
54.1% (351)
43.2% (502)
By Period
Lowry
Byfield
P1
52.4%
43.7%
P2
56.3%
43.7%
P3
54.7%
46.9%
OT
44.4%
38.5%
Final 5 min
58.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
54.0%▼
56.0%
54.3%
Byfield
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |