Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 48.7% vs Byfield 46.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 64.0%
Defensive zone
Byfield 60.6%
Neutral zone
Byfield 62.0%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Frost
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Frost
Byfield
Last 6: Frost 1-5 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
2
Frost
Byfield
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Frost
Byfield
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
2
Frost
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (426)
45.4% (262)
+2.0%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
50.0% (8)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
33.3% (3)
-13.3%
On power play, Frost has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Frost shoots left. Byfield is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Frost
Byfield
Home
51.1% (221)
43.0% (114)
Away
45.9% (246)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Frost
Byfield
P1
47.5%
46.5%
P2
52.3%
41.9%
P3
44.7%
47.9%
Final 5 min
43.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |