Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Byfield wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.4% vs Donato 48.1% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 58.8%
Defensive zone
Byfield 68.0%
Neutral zone
Byfield 52.2%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Byfield
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Byfield
Donato
Last 5: Byfield 1-4 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
3
Byfield
Donato
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
0
Byfield
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Byfield
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (759)
48.1% (258)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
43.2% (37)
+6.8%
On power play, Byfield has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Byfield is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Byfield shoots left. Donato is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Byfield
Donato
Home
46.2% (442)
45.8% (142)
Away
44.0% (523)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Byfield
Donato
P1
44.1%
48.1%
P2
43.5%
46.6%
P3
47.7%
46.8%
OT
39.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.0%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |