Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.6% vs 44.5%). Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Byfield wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 44.9% vs Donato 44.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 75.8%
Defensive zone
Byfield 60.0%
Neutral zone
Donato 55.8%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Byfield
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Byfield
Donato
Last 8: Byfield 2-6 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
5
Byfield
Donato
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
2
0
Byfield
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Byfield
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (2,107)
44.2% (1,179)
+1.1%
Power Play
47.3% (112)
46.3% (246)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (225)
36.4% (11)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Byfield is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,627).
Byfield shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Byfield
Donato
Home
45.2% (1,163)
47.2% (743)
Away
44.1% (1,281)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Byfield
Donato
P1
45.0%
43.4%
P2
43.7%
45.1%
P3
45.5%
44.4%
OT
41.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.6%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |