Quinton Byfield vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.6% vs 44.7%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Byfield wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 44.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.7%
Defensive zone
Byfield 58.8%
Neutral zone
Byfield 51.4%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Byfield 4-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
3
1
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
4
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
2
1
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (2,107)
44.9% (8,756)
+0.4%
Power Play
47.3% (112)
50.7% (839)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (225)
37.9% (879)
-0.6%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Byfield is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,627).
Byfield shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.2% (1,163)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
44.1% (1,281)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.0%
45.1%
P2
43.7%
43.9%
P3
45.5%
45.3%
OT
41.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
42.8%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |