Quinton Byfield vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Byfield wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 44.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
3
1
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
0
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (853)
50.3% (479)
-5.8%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
50.0% (28)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
30.0% (50)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Byfield has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Byfield is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Byfield shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
43.8% (502)
48.9% (270)
Away
44.3% (440)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.2%
48.7%
P2
43.0%
50.0%
P3
45.0%
47.3%
OT
46.2%
36.4%
Final 5 min
40.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
56.0%▲
47.5%
44.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |