Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.6% vs 44.5%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Byfield wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 44.9% vs Strome 44.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 60.7%
Defensive zone
Byfield 53.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.6%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Byfield
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Byfield
Strome
Last 10: Byfield 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
8
Byfield
Strome
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
4
2
Byfield
Strome
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
4
Byfield
Strome
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (2,107)
44.1% (6,839)
+1.2%
Power Play
47.3% (112)
49.3% (854)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (225)
41.5% (410)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Byfield is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (817).
Byfield shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Byfield
Strome
Home
45.2% (1,163)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
44.1% (1,281)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Byfield
Strome
P1
45.0%
44.0%
P2
43.7%
45.3%
P3
45.5%
44.3%
OT
41.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
42.8%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |