Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Byfield wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 44.6% vs Crosby 56.6% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 50.6%
Defensive zone
Byfield 74.5%
Neutral zone
Byfield 65.4%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Byfield
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Byfield
Crosby
Last 6: Byfield 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
0
Byfield
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Byfield
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Byfield
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (853)
56.2% (1,451)
-11.7%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
61.4% (293)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
55.3% (38)
-17.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Byfield is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Byfield shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Byfield
Crosby
Home
43.8% (502)
59.1% (939)
Away
44.3% (440)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Byfield
Crosby
P1
44.2%
54.9%
P2
43.0%
60.8%
P3
45.0%
55.4%
OT
46.2%
53.6%
Final 5 min
40.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |