Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Byfield wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.4% vs Zegras 35.4% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 60.6%
Defensive zone
Byfield 95.8%
Neutral zone
Byfield 91.2%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Byfield
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Byfield
Zegras
Last 7: Byfield 5-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Byfield
Zegras
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
3
0
Byfield
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
0
Byfield
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (759)
29.6% (230)
+16.9%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
32.1% (56)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (148)
100.0% (1)
-64.9%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +64.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Byfield is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Byfield shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Byfield
Zegras
Home
46.2% (442)
30.6% (147)
Away
44.0% (523)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Byfield
Zegras
P1
44.1%
33.0%
P2
43.5%
31.7%
P3
47.7%
25.6%
OT
39.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.6%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |