Scouting Report
R.J. Umberger holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ribeiro wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.1% vs Umberger 49.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 71.2%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 77.4%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 72.4%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Ribeiro
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Ribeiro
Umberger
Last 6: Ribeiro 1-5 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
0
4
Ribeiro
Umberger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ribeiro
Umberger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (624)
50.6% (164)
-8.1%
Power Play
42.2% (128)
49.1% (114)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
40.0% (25)
-3.3%
On even strength, Umberger has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (560).
Ribeiro shoots left. Umberger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Umberger
Home
44.3% (395)
48.8% (166)
Away
40.2% (413)
49.3% (140)
By Period
Ribeiro
Umberger
P1
36.5%
43.7%
P2
43.8%
52.6%
P3
45.6%
51.4%
OT
57.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
42.2%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |