Scouting Report
R.J. Umberger holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Umberger wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Umberger 49.3% vs Oshie 48.4% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 82.7%
Defensive zone
Oshie 61.2%
Neutral zone
Umberger 60.9%
Result
R.J. Umberger favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Umberger
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Umberger
Oshie
Last 5: Umberger 4-1 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
3
0
Umberger
Oshie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Umberger
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Umberger
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (164)
56.8% (37)
-6.2%
Power Play
49.1% (114)
25.0% (4)
+24.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (25)
9.1% (11)
+30.9%
On penalty kill, Umberger has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Umberger is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Umberger shoots left. Oshie is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Umberger
Oshie
Home
48.8% (166)
46.2% (26)
Away
49.3% (140)
44.4% (27)
By Period
Umberger
Oshie
P1
43.7%
63.6%
P2
52.6%
52.6%
P3
51.4%
31.6%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |