Scouting Report
R.J. Umberger holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Umberger 50.1% vs Oshie 46.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 52.8%
Defensive zone
Umberger 75.1%
Neutral zone
Umberger 64.9%
Result
R.J. Umberger favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Umberger
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Umberger
Oshie
Last 8: Umberger 7-1 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
5
0
Umberger
Oshie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Umberger
Oshie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Umberger
1
0
Umberger
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Umberger
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (387)
45.2% (764)
+5.7%
Power Play
49.8% (251)
47.7% (1,221)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (58)
40.2% (164)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Umberger has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Umberger is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Umberger shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Umberger
Oshie
Home
52.3% (365)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
47.6% (336)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Umberger
Oshie
P1
50.0%
47.3%
P2
49.3%
45.2%
P3
50.0%
46.7%
OT
57.1%
40.8%
Final 5 min
48.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 7, 2011 | OT | 04:44 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |