Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.2% vs Faksa 50.3% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 92.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 62.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 88.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Ryan
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Ryan
Faksa
Last 6: Ryan 5-1 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Faksa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Ryan
Faksa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Faksa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (594)
50.3% (915)
+8.8%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
46.2% (52)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (107)
52.1% (165)
+5.8%
On even strength, Ryan has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Ryan is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Ryan shoots right. Faksa is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Ryan
Faksa
Home
57.0% (398)
50.1% (561)
Away
59.5% (358)
50.6% (571)
By Period
Ryan
Faksa
P1
56.2%
45.2%
P2
56.9%
53.0%
P3
61.1%
52.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |