Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Guentzel wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 47.4% vs Faksa 53.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 96.3%
Defensive zone
Guentzel 55.8%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 78.8%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Guentzel
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Guentzel
Faksa
Last 5: Guentzel 0-5 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
3
Guentzel
Faksa
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
2
Guentzel
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (200)
56.4% (289)
-7.4%
Power Play
42.3% (111)
0.0% (2)
+42.3%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
49.2% (126)
-3.4%
On power play, Guentzel has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Guentzel is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Guentzel shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Faksa
Home
48.8% (166)
54.9% (182)
Away
44.4% (169)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Guentzel
Faksa
P1
46.7%
61.1%
P2
48.5%
51.3%
P3
44.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |