Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.9% vs Faksa 50.3% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 93.2%
Defensive zone
Faksa 55.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 68.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Pavelski
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Pavelski
Faksa
Last 10: Pavelski 8-2 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
0
Pavelski
Faksa
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
1
Pavelski
Faksa
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pavelski
Faksa
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (730)
50.3% (915)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.1% (156)
46.2% (52)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (103)
52.1% (165)
-10.4%
On power play, Pavelski has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Pavelski is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Pavelski shoots right. Faksa is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Faksa
Home
55.2% (458)
50.1% (561)
Away
51.4% (531)
50.6% (571)
By Period
Pavelski
Faksa
P1
54.0%
45.2%
P2
54.5%
53.0%
P3
50.5%
52.4%
OT
60.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.2%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |