Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.5%). Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Faksa wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 53.7% vs Couturier 53.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 71.4%
Defensive zone
Faksa 72.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 54.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Faksa
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Faksa
Couturier
Last 10: Faksa 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
5
Faksa
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
4
0
Faksa
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
0
Faksa
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (401)
53.8% (1,003)
+2.6%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
56.4% (202)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (110)
42.7% (89)
+2.8%
On power play, Faksa has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Faksa is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Faksa shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Faksa
Couturier
Home
49.0% (249)
54.4% (680)
Away
59.4% (271)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Faksa
Couturier
P1
58.2%
56.3%
P2
53.6%
51.8%
P3
52.4%
52.2%
OT
40.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |