Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Faksa wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 55.1% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Faksa 64.5%
Defensive zone
Faksa 81.9%
Neutral zone
Faksa 75.3%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Faksa
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Faksa
Lorentz
Last 6: Faksa 4-2 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
0
Faksa
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
1
Faksa
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Faksa
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (413)
48.3% (497)
+8.4%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
63.6% (11)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (123)
38.5% (39)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Faksa is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Faksa shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Faksa
Lorentz
Home
56.3% (261)
50.4% (238)
Away
55.7% (291)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Faksa
Lorentz
P1
58.6%
49.1%
P2
55.0%
48.0%
P3
55.0%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |