Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 53.2% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 82.3%
Defensive zone
Faksa 83.8%
Neutral zone
Faksa 53.5%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Faksa
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Faksa
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Faksa
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
0
Faksa
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (289)
56.1% (342)
+0.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
53.3% (92)
-53.3%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (126)
62.5% (8)
-13.3%
On power play, Stamkos has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Faksa is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Faksa shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Faksa
Stamkos
Home
54.9% (182)
53.4% (208)
Away
53.2% (235)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Faksa
Stamkos
P1
61.1%
55.6%
P2
51.3%
52.8%
P3
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |