Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Faksa wins 59.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 56.2% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 81.2%
Defensive zone
Faksa 85.9%
Neutral zone
Faksa 64.4%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Faksa
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Faksa
Stamkos
Last 5: Faksa 3-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Faksa
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
3
1
Faksa
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (671)
49.3% (670)
+7.6%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
53.7% (121)
+32.0%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (80)
33.3% (3)
+21.7%
On power play, Faksa has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Faksa is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Faksa shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Faksa
Stamkos
Home
59.5% (375)
54.0% (400)
Away
54.6% (383)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Faksa
Stamkos
P1
61.2%
48.6%
P2
54.5%
54.5%
P3
55.5%
45.4%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |