Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.5%). Look for Kupari on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Kupari 52.1% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 56.5%
Defensive zone
Kupari 51.7%
Neutral zone
Kupari 61.5%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Evans
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Evans
Kupari
Last 5: Evans 1-4 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kupari
1
4
Evans
Kupari
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
53.5% (413)
+0.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
0.0% (1)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
48.2% (85)
-0.1%
On power play, Evans has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Evans shoots right. Kupari is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Evans
Kupari
Home
55.1% (541)
52.1% (257)
Away
50.8% (581)
52.9% (242)
By Period
Evans
Kupari
P1
51.8%
50.6%
P2
53.3%
53.6%
P3
53.8%
53.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |