Scouting Report
Rasmus Kupari holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kupari on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pederson wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 49.0% vs Kupari 50.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pederson 62.6%
Defensive zone
Kupari 52.5%
Neutral zone
Pederson 58.2%
Result
Lane Pederson favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Pederson
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Pederson
Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
3
Pederson
Kupari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Pederson
Kupari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (323)
50.5% (1,275)
-1.6%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
43.5% (23)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
50.4% (139)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Pederson is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Pederson shoots right. Kupari is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Pederson
Kupari
Home
53.1% (145)
51.4% (782)
Away
45.6% (206)
49.2% (655)
By Period
Pederson
Kupari
P1
49.6%
49.9%
P2
45.8%
48.5%
P3
50.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.7%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:36 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |