Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 54.7%). Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kupari wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 53.7% vs Seguin 54.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 58.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 60.8%
Neutral zone
Kupari 55.3%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Kupari
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kupari
Seguin
Last 6: Kupari 1-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kupari
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kupari
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Kupari
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (379)
55.0% (713)
-1.4%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
56.7% (104)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
72.2% (18)
47.2% (53)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kupari is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Kupari shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Kupari
Seguin
Home
55.5% (245)
56.2% (443)
Away
53.2% (158)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Kupari
Seguin
P1
58.8%
54.2%
P2
47.8%
52.9%
P3
57.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
54.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |