Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 52.1% vs Hertl 54.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 86.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 77.9%
Neutral zone
Johnson 56.1%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Johnson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Johnson
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Johnson
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (186)
54.1% (1,117)
+1.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
59.8% (296)
+40.2%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (37)
34.4% (32)
+3.4%
On power play, Johnson has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Johnson is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Johnson shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Johnson
Hertl
Home
51.6% (95)
54.3% (709)
Away
54.2% (131)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Johnson
Hertl
P1
46.7%
51.6%
P2
50.5%
53.6%
P3
58.9%
58.6%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |