Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 51.5% vs Smith 48.7% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Smith 71.5%
Defensive zone
Johnson 67.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.5%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Johnson
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (434)
49.0% (769)
+4.5%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
63.6% (22)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (81)
42.4% (118)
-1.7%
On power play, Johnson has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Johnson shoots right. Smith is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Johnson
Smith
Home
50.8% (252)
52.4% (490)
Away
52.6% (268)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Johnson
Smith
P1
52.1%
46.9%
P2
47.4%
51.2%
P3
56.4%
47.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.7%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%