Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gardner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gardner wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gardner 46.5% vs Colton 49.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 59.3%
Defensive zone
Colton 63.4%
Neutral zone
Gardner 51.3%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Gardner
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gardner
Colton
Last 5: Gardner 3-2 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Gardner
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gardner
3
1
Gardner
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gardner
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (100)
49.2% (199)
-6.2%
On even strength, Colton has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Gardner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Gardner shoots left. Colton is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Gardner
Colton
Home
35.5% (31)
46.3% (121)
Away
46.4% (69)
51.7% (87)
By Period
Gardner
Colton
P1
40.0%
56.2%
P2
48.5%
46.8%
P3
40.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gardner
50.0%▲
45.2%
43.0%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |