Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gardner on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gardner wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gardner 47.0% vs Colton 51.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 62.5%
Defensive zone
Colton 66.5%
Neutral zone
Colton 57.3%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Gardner
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gardner
Colton
Last 7: Gardner 4-3 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Gardner
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Gardner
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gardner
4
1
Gardner
Colton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gardner
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (162)
51.6% (1,788)
-7.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
48.4% (159)
+51.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
34.5% (29)
+32.2%
On power play, Gardner has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Gardner is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Gardner shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,283).
Home / Away
Gardner
Colton
Home
45.1% (51)
51.9% (1,004)
Away
45.2% (115)
50.2% (972)
By Period
Gardner
Colton
P1
42.3%
53.3%
P2
52.6%
52.6%
P3
40.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
56.3%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gardner
50.0%▲
45.2%
45.2%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |