Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +20.8% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 31.9% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 41.1% vs Peverley 55.4% (-20.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 51.3%
Defensive zone
Peverley 56.3%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 51.2%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Wheeler
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wheeler
Peverley
Last 5: Wheeler 2-3 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Peverley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wheeler
Peverley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Wheeler
Peverley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
36.9% (122)
55.9% (800)
-19.0%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
54.8% (219)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
58.4% (149)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Wheeler is 31.9% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Wheeler shoots right. Peverley is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Peverley
Home
30.4% (79)
57.3% (590)
Away
40.6% (69)
54.4% (586)
By Period
Wheeler
Peverley
P1
30.2%
56.0%
P2
37.7%
58.1%
P3
38.1%
54.0%
Final 5 min
16.7%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
35.1%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 1 | 08:32 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |