Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +22.3% FO% edge overall. Dwyer wins 35.3% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dwyer 38.5% vs Peverley 55.4% (-22.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dwyer 53.3%
Defensive zone
Dwyer 50.9%
Neutral zone
Dwyer 53.5%
Result
Patrick Dwyer favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Dwyer
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dwyer
Peverley
Last 5: Dwyer 2-3 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dwyer
2
0
Dwyer
Peverley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
1
Dwyer
Peverley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Dwyer
Peverley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dwyer
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
34.8% (221)
55.9% (800)
-21.1%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
54.8% (219)
-29.8%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
58.4% (149)
-45.9%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +45.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Dwyer is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Dwyer shoots right. Peverley is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Dwyer
Peverley
Home
30.8% (91)
57.3% (590)
Away
35.4% (147)
54.4% (586)
By Period
Dwyer
Peverley
P1
36.4%
56.0%
P2
30.4%
58.1%
P3
34.8%
54.0%
Final 5 min
35.6%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dwyer
30.0%▼
38.0%
33.6%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Patrick Dwyer |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Patrick Dwyer |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |