Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Elias wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 44.5% vs Peverley 58.6% (-17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 85.0%
Defensive zone
Elias 86.9%
Neutral zone
Elias 87.1%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Elias
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Elias
Peverley
Last 6: Elias 1-5 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Elias
Peverley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
3
Elias
Peverley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
1
Elias
Peverley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (954)
59.2% (223)
-14.5%
Power Play
46.9% (196)
61.1% (54)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (180)
68.5% (54)
-32.4%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Elias is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Elias shoots left. Peverley is 63.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Elias
Peverley
Home
46.0% (692)
54.0% (161)
Away
42.2% (677)
67.8% (171)
By Period
Elias
Peverley
P1
40.7%
65.0%
P2
46.8%
53.0%
P3
44.0%
65.5%
OT
53.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.5%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |