Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Peverley wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 58.6% vs Gagner 47.1% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 60.5%
Defensive zone
Peverley 50.0%
Neutral zone
Peverley 56.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Peverley
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Peverley
Gagner
Last 5: Peverley 2-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Peverley
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Peverley
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Peverley
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
62.8% (414)
45.9% (815)
+16.9%
Power Play
54.2% (96)
55.3% (132)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (69)
25.0% (16)
+27.2%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Peverley is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Peverley shoots right. Gagner is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Peverley
Gagner
Home
63.9% (324)
48.7% (542)
Away
55.3% (255)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Peverley
Gagner
P1
63.3%
45.1%
P2
60.1%
46.6%
P3
58.0%
49.7%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
60.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |