Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Peverley wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 57.7% vs Gagner 46.0% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 52.9%
Defensive zone
Peverley 68.8%
Neutral zone
Peverley 53.8%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Peverley
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Peverley
Gagner
Last 10: Peverley 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
2
1
Peverley
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Peverley
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
3
Peverley
Gagner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,715)
45.4% (4,699)
+12.6%
Power Play
57.0% (391)
51.5% (928)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
59.2% (333)
35.0% (226)
+24.2%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Peverley is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (738).
Peverley shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Peverley
Gagner
Home
58.1% (1,266)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
57.9% (1,182)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Peverley
Gagner
P1
59.6%
44.6%
P2
57.8%
46.1%
P3
57.0%
47.3%
OT
51.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
60.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |