Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Peverley wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 57.7% vs Bozak 53.4% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 22-15 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 59.7%
Defensive zone
Bozak 63.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 63.6%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Peverley
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
22
(37 meetings)
15
22
Peverley
Bozak
Last 10: Peverley 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
9
8
Peverley
Bozak
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
9
Peverley
Bozak
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
5
Peverley
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,715)
53.7% (9,596)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.0% (391)
55.2% (1,990)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
59.2% (333)
48.0% (1,094)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Peverley is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (738).
Peverley shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Peverley
Bozak
Home
58.1% (1,266)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
57.9% (1,182)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Peverley
Bozak
P1
59.6%
53.2%
P2
57.8%
52.8%
P3
57.0%
54.5%
OT
51.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
60.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 25, 2013 | OT | 00:43 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 30, 2011 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |