Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Rakell 41.7% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 59.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 91.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 76.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Zacha
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Zacha
Rakell
Last 7: Zacha 5-2 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
2
Zacha
Rakell
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
36.8% (114)
+16.5%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
42.3% (26)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
0.0% (7)
+38.9%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Zacha shoots left. Rakell is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Zacha
Rakell
Home
51.7% (410)
41.2% (68)
Away
52.2% (408)
31.6% (79)
By Period
Zacha
Rakell
P1
57.7%
34.5%
P2
48.9%
38.5%
P3
50.2%
33.3%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |