Rickard Rakell vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Rakell wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 41.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone
Rakell 52.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Rakell
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (114)
47.6% (231)
-10.8%
Power Play
42.3% (26)
83.3% (12)
-41.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
33.3% (21)
-33.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Rakell is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Rakell shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Rakell
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
41.2% (68)
51.2% (164)
Away
31.6% (79)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Rakell
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
34.5%
50.0%
P2
38.5%
46.2%
P3
33.3%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
36.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%