Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Rakell wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 44.9% vs Gagner 46.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Rakell 59.4%
Defensive zone
Rakell 56.1%
Neutral zone
Rakell 60.5%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Rakell
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Rakell
Gagner
Last 10: Rakell 3-7 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
7
Rakell
Gagner
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
2
1
Rakell
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
4
Rakell
Gagner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (1,864)
45.4% (4,699)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.3% (197)
51.5% (928)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
21.7% (23)
35.0% (226)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Rakell is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (751).
Rakell shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Rakell
Gagner
Home
46.7% (1,041)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
42.7% (1,044)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Rakell
Gagner
P1
45.6%
44.6%
P2
42.1%
46.1%
P3
46.4%
47.3%
OT
50.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
44.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2022 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |