Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rakell wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 44.8% vs Smith 51.9% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 57.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 89.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 70.1%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Rakell
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rakell
Smith
Last 5: Rakell 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
3
0
Rakell
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Rakell
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
1
0
Rakell
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (423)
53.6% (550)
-9.9%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
53.5% (71)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.5% (108)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Rakell is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Rakell shoots right. Smith is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Rakell
Smith
Home
46.1% (180)
56.5% (352)
Away
42.1% (271)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Rakell
Smith
P1
47.7%
52.0%
P2
37.6%
51.5%
P3
46.0%
52.2%
OT
62.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
43.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Zack Smith |