Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rakell wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 44.9% vs Smith 50.6% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 66.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 93.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 79.6%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Rakell
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Rakell
Smith
Last 8: Rakell 7-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
5
0
Rakell
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Rakell
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
2
0
Rakell
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (1,864)
51.6% (5,265)
-7.2%
Power Play
50.3% (197)
51.2% (342)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
21.7% (23)
45.3% (985)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,334).
Rakell shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Rakell
Smith
Home
46.7% (1,041)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
42.7% (1,044)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Rakell
Smith
P1
45.6%
49.9%
P2
42.1%
50.0%
P3
46.4%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
44.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
44.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2019 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 15:27 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Zack Smith |