Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.8%). Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Greig 50.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 55.8%
Defensive zone
Greig 50.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 62.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Coyle
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Coyle
Greig
Last 9: Coyle 2-7 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
6
Coyle
Greig
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Coyle
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
51.5% (336)
+0.8%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
66.7% (24)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
43.2% (81)
+1.6%
On power play, Greig has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Greig is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Coyle
Greig
Home
49.0% (537)
50.2% (247)
Away
52.1% (516)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Coyle
Greig
P1
48.7%
46.9%
P2
49.6%
58.8%
P3
53.1%
48.3%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |