Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Greig 53.8% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 67.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 93.7%
Neutral zone
Greig 75.0%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Rodrigues
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rodrigues
Greig
Last 5: Rodrigues 4-1 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
Greig
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
53.6% (280)
-8.0%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
61.3% (31)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
56.5% (69)
-6.5%
On power play, Greig has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Greig is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Greig
Home
46.5% (142)
56.2% (185)
Away
43.6% (140)
53.3% (195)
By Period
Rodrigues
Greig
P1
42.9%
52.8%
P2
50.0%
51.6%
P3
42.4%
59.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |