Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Greig wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 53.8% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 85.1%
Defensive zone
Greig 93.7%
Neutral zone
Greig 85.6%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 91.9%
91.9%
8.1%
Greig
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Greig
Reinhart
Last 9: Greig 8-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Greig
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
7
0
Greig
Reinhart
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
1
0
Greig
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (280)
44.1% (324)
+9.5%
Power Play
61.3% (31)
40.3% (72)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (69)
33.9% (118)
+22.6%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Greig is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Greig shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Greig
Reinhart
Home
56.2% (185)
40.5% (232)
Away
53.3% (195)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Greig
Reinhart
P1
52.8%
46.4%
P2
51.6%
32.6%
P3
59.5%
45.4%
Final 5 min
58.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |