Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Greig wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 48.8% vs Crosby 53.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 60.8%
Defensive zone
Greig 86.7%
Neutral zone
Greig 66.7%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Greig
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Greig
Crosby
Last 10: Greig 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
6
Greig
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
4
1
Greig
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Greig
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,133)
52.8% (17,990)
-4.3%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
57.4% (4,733)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
47.1% (765)
-0.6%
On even strength, Crosby has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Greig is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Greig shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Greig
Crosby
Home
49.8% (681)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
47.7% (698)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Greig
Crosby
P1
46.3%
53.6%
P2
51.2%
53.9%
P3
48.8%
53.3%
OT
28.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
53.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |