Ridly Greig vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Greig wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 48.8% vs Girgensons 45.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 53.6%
Defensive zone
Greig 50.0%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 55.3%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Greig
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Greig
Girgensons
Last 5: Greig 2-3 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
2
Greig
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Greig
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
2
0
Greig
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,133)
45.4% (2,700)
+3.1%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
49.1% (175)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
42.2% (481)
+4.3%
On power play, Greig has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Greig is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Greig shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Greig
Girgensons
Home
49.8% (681)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
47.7% (698)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Greig
Girgensons
P1
46.3%
45.7%
P2
51.2%
44.1%
P3
48.8%
45.5%
OT
28.6%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |