Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Greig wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 45.0% vs Girgensons 48.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 56.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 57.1%
Neutral zone
Greig 57.4%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Greig
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Greig
Girgensons
Last 5: Greig 2-3 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
2
Greig
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Greig
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
2
0
Greig
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (414)
46.3% (147)
-1.1%
Power Play
28.6% (14)
66.7% (3)
-38.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (21)
51.1% (47)
-22.5%
On power play, Girgensons has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Greig is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Greig shoots left. Girgensons is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Greig
Girgensons
Home
46.4% (196)
34.2% (79)
Away
41.9% (253)
56.8% (118)
By Period
Greig
Girgensons
P1
40.8%
56.5%
P2
46.4%
38.1%
P3
43.9%
47.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |