Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 52.5% vs Nash 46.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 63.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 75.2%
Neutral zone
Nash 64.9%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Cirelli
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Cirelli
Nash
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Nash
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
5
Cirelli
Nash
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (748)
46.1% (306)
+6.7%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
16.7% (6)
+42.7%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (171)
38.1% (21)
+13.4%
On power play, Cirelli has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Cirelli is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Cirelli shoots left. Nash is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Nash
Home
54.5% (466)
46.5% (157)
Away
51.1% (485)
43.8% (176)
By Period
Cirelli
Nash
P1
48.6%
47.7%
P2
54.8%
39.8%
P3
55.8%
47.2%
Final 5 min
55.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 17:11 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |