Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.7%). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Nash 49.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 73.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 74.3%
Neutral zone
Nash 51.1%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Cirelli
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cirelli
Nash
Last 6: Cirelli 4-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
0
Cirelli
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (372)
51.2% (283)
-1.5%
Power Play
59.5% (37)
50.0% (2)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
37.7% (53)
39.0% (41)
-1.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Cirelli is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Cirelli shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Nash
Home
47.5% (217)
50.6% (178)
Away
50.6% (245)
48.6% (148)
By Period
Cirelli
Nash
P1
55.0%
46.8%
P2
44.8%
45.5%
P3
46.2%
56.4%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |